Football statistics glossary

Over / Under

Predicts whether the total goals in the match will be more (OVER) or less/equal (UNDER) than a specific number. 2.5 is the most common line — the decimal eliminates ties in the prediction.

Both Teams Score (BTTS)

Predicts whether both teams will score at least 1 goal each. The final result doesn't matter — only that both teams found the net.

Winner or Draw

Predicts there will be a definitive winner at the end of regular time. The draw is completely excluded. If the match ends level, the prediction loses.

Asian Handicap (AH)

The favourite starts with a goal disadvantage (-) and the underdog gets a head start (+). Eliminates the draw by using decimal values. AH -1.5 means the favourite must win by 2 or more.

1X2 (Final Result)

The simplest market. Choose between 3 options: 1 = Home wins, X = Draw, 2 = Away wins. Most liquid market with the most historical data available.

Double Chance

Covers two of the three possible outcomes with a single pick. Options: 1X (Home or Draw), X2 (Draw or Away), 12 (Home or Away — no draw). Reduces risk but also lowers the odds.

Draw No Bet (DNB)

Choose Home or Away. If the match ends in a draw your stake is returned — no profit, no loss. You only lose if the other team wins.

Correct Score

Predicting the exact final scoreline. Extremely difficult but offers very high odds. Hits only ~8-15% of the time even with strong analysis.

Half Time / Full Time (HT/FT)

Predict the half-time result AND the full-time result. 9 possible combinations: 1/1, 1/X, 1/2, X/1, X/X, X/2, 2/1, 2/X, 2/2.

Clean Sheet

Predicts whether a specific team will concede zero goals during the entire match.

First / Last Goal Scorer

Predicts which player will score the first or last goal. Requires individual form analysis, position, and goal patterns. Starting strikers with ≥4 goals in last 5 matches have higher probability.

Recent Form

Record of the last 5 matches shown as W-D-L. Reflects the team's current momentum.

H2H (Head to Head)

Historical record of all encounters between two specific teams. The last 5 H2Hs are more relevant than the last 20.

Home Advantage

Performance difference when a team plays at their own stadium vs away. Most teams perform significantly better at home.

Win Streak

Number of consecutive wins. Streaks of 5+ wins have only a 45% probability of continuing in the next matchday (La Liga average).

Clean Sheet Run

Number of consecutive matches without conceding a goal. Indicates a team in great defensive form.

Goals Per Game (GPG)

Average goals scored (offensive) or conceded (defensive) per match. Key for predicting Over/Under and BTTS markets.

Cup vs League Performance

Many teams rotate in cup games and prioritise the league (or vice versa). Teams that rotate in cup competitions have on average 18% less offensive efficiency.

Corner Trends

Average corners per match for a team, both for and against. Teams that attack down the wings generate more corners.

Card Trends

Average yellow and red cards per match. Depends on playing style, the assigned referee, and team rivalry.

Possession (%)

Percentage of time a team controls the ball. High possession does not guarantee winning (counter-attacking teams prove this), but it shows who dictates the pace.

Implied Probability

The probability that a decimal odd implies for an event occurring. If your estimate exceeds the implied probability, there is 'statistical value'. All implied probabilities sum to >100% (the excess is the house margin).

Shots on Target vs Total

Ratio of shots on target to total shots. Measures attack precision. Elite: >40% | Average: 30-40% | Low: <30%.

Conversion Efficiency

Percentage of shots on target that become goals. >25% = High (possibly unsustainable) | 15-25% = Normal | <15% = Low (expect improvement).

PPDA (High Press)

Passes allowed to the opponent per defensive action. Low PPDA = very intense pressing. Reference: <7 = Very high press | 7-10 = Medium | >10 = Low block.

Progressive Passes

Passes that advance the ball at least 10 metres toward the opponent's goal. Measures the team's verticality. >80/game = Very vertical | 50-80 = Normal | <50 = Slow/patient.

ELO Rating

Ranking system adapted from chess. Rises with wins (more against strong opponents) and falls with losses. Represents 'true strength' regardless of league. Reference: >2000 = World elite | 1800-2000 = Very good | 1600-1800 = Average.